A US-Led Multinational Mechanism for Syria

Optimism about Syria abounds. The regime, despite its Islamist orientation, has adopted a generally moderate and pragmatic approach (though there are legitimate concerns about its security forces’ actions in the predominantly Druze area of al-Suwayda). Israel’s decimation of Hizbullah and weakening of Iran – the former Asad regime’s primary pillars of support – created this […]
Why Donald Trump Deserves the Nobel Peace Prize

In an era where symbolism often overshadows substance, the idea of awarding Donald J. Trump the Nobel Peace Prize can be dismissed as political theater. Yet such dismissal risks overlooking a complex, inconvenient truth: Trump’s Middle East policy produced one of the most significant realignments in regional geopolitics in generations. From the crossroads of tradition […]
Thoughts from the Safe Room on the New Map of the Middle East

Every modern apartment in Israel comes with a safe room hardened to survive a missile or rocket hit. In 2022 I moved to Jerusalem, bought an apartment, and placed my library in the safe room. Thus, I had plenty of resources to consult in the safe room during the recent Iranian missile attacks. Here are […]
The Punitive Expedition Against the Houthis

In 55 BCE, Julius Caesar decided (according to his Commentaries) to “cross the Rhine since he saw the Germans were so easily urged to go into Gaul, he desired they should have fears for their own territories when they discovered that the army of the Roman people both could and dared pass the Rhine.” This […]
Egypt-Israel Military Ties: Washington Must Pay More Attention

The Hamas attacks of October 7, 2023 marked a critical test of Israel’s quiet military partnership with Egypt. For more than a decade, Egypt and Israel maintained robust security coordination focused on ISIS cells in the Sinai peninsula. That cooperation, mostly kept out of the media, now faces its most serious challenge. Since the conflict in […]
Saying the Right Things: The New Syria Takes a First Step Towards the Abraham Accords

Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa has a colossal problem. Syria’s infrastructure, including housing and commerce, was significantly destroyed during more than a decade of civil war. The new Syrian government will have great difficulty rebuilding Syria after more than a decade of civil war unless US and other sanctions are lifted. Syria has been under comprehensive […]
The Middle East at a Crossroads

When President Donald Trump arrived in the Gulf, it was not just another diplomatic appearance. It was a signal. A bold assertion that the shape of a new Middle East is being drafted—not in smoke-filled backrooms, but in the ambitious visions of capitals determined to move beyond war and resentment. Trump’s visit was transactional on […]
To Lock in Middle East Security, Up the Game

President Trump will be traveling to the Middle East at a time of great progress, given the terrible defeat Iran has suffered over the past eighteen months at the hands of exactly the regional alliance Trump is seeking now to further strengthen. Nevertheless, more work is needed on the three most pressing remaining Iran-related issues, […]
A Cold Peace in Peril?

Israel-Egypt peace was carefully constructed in the 1979 treaty and has weathered numerous regional storms: the 1982 Lebanon War, two Palestinian intifadas, the upheaval of the 2011 Arab Spring, and even sixteen months of conflict in Gaza. Throughout, Israel and Egypt have sustained generally productive military and economic cooperation (despite persistent anti-Israeli sentiment in the […]
A New World Order

The war in Ukraine is leading to a seismic geopolitical shift, reshaping the global order. At its fulcrum stands Donald Trump, the champion of “America First” who is asserting Washington’s dominance on his own terms. Opposing him, Europe remains trapped in the inertia of its post-Cold War illusions, struggling to adjust to a world where […]