Israel Faces Its Grand Strategy Moment

by June 2026

In this new JST Situation Room, Col. Eran Lerman’s analysis sheds light on a decisive turning point for Israel. For decades, its security doctrine rested on three pillars: deterrence, early warning, and decisive victory. But October 7, 2023 exposed the limits of that model. Facing Gaza, Hezbollah, Iran, and deep internal fractures, Israel can no longer mistake strength for strategy. Its survival now requires a new architecture of power, less dependent, more durable, and politically sustainable.

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Eran Lerman
Editor-in-chief
Col. (ret.) Dr. Eran Lerman is a former senior intelligence officer. He served as Israel’s deputy national security adviser (2009–2015), and prior to that as director, AJC Israel and ME office (2001–2009). He is currently the vice president of the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security and a lecturer at Shalem College. @EranLerman