Hormuz and the Globalization of the War
The war between Israel and the United States against Iran began much like the summer 2025 conflict: a campaign of airstrikes and targeted killings directed at Iran, met by Tehran’s missile response, though this time against a larger set of states. Yet within days, the strategic center of gravity shifted. The decisive arena, as these […]
THE MIDDLE EAST AFTER THE IRAN WAR: LESSONS AND OUTCOMES
It is ambitious at this point given the uncertainties of the raging Iran War to inventory likely lessons and outcomes on the region’s future. But it is also necessary, as analysis of alternative scenarios should best begin before a major inflection point is upon us. That inflection point could range from the end of the […]
Wired for War: How The US’s Infrastructure Corridors Became the Front Line Against China and Iran
The great strategic contests of the twenty-first century are not decided on battlefields alone. They are fought in container terminals and railway concessions, in the bandwidth of subsea cables, and in the carefully calibrated vocabulary of G20 Leaders’ Declarations. But they are also decided – often violently – by the wars that break out along […]
The Iran War Is Recasting the Red Sea and the Horn of Africa as a Strategic Battleground
From IMEC to China’s Belt and Road, global powers are converging on one of the world’s oldest geopolitical crossroads The war involving Iran is often described as a Middle Eastern crisis. In reality, its consequences extend far beyond the Gulf. As tensions disrupt shipping routes, energy markets and regional alliances, the ripple effects are reshaping […]
Could Ukraine Actually Defeat Russia?
When President Donald Trump said (in 2025) Ukraine could regain its territory, it wasn’t just a comment about borders. It touched a deeper strategic question that many in Washington still hesitate to answer plainly: What happens if Russia loses? For four years, the United States and its allies have supported Ukraine with roughly $66.9 billion […]
The Iranian Regime in Wartime Transformation: Why Mojtaba Khamene’i is far from Supreme
The strategic impact of decapitation attacks is a controversial question. Advocates point to organizations and nations thrown into disarray by the loss of their leaders: opponents mention what happened after Israel killed Nasrallah’s predecessor as the leader of Hizbullah, only to face for many years a much more formidable opponent. It is still early in […]
When Opposition to War with Iran Turns into Absurdity
It is remarkable to witness the level of ignorance displayed by certain public officials, segments of the media, and various analysts when evaluating the rationale behind the joint American–Israeli military operation against Iran. For Americans, it is natural to perceive Russia and China as primary threats, given how deeply U.S. strategic thinking has been shaped […]
Estonia Has the Cards: Tiny Tech Nation Can Down Iranian Drones
Estonian Defense Minister Hanno Pevkur spoke with the Jerusalem Strategic Tribune’s Melinda Haring on March 19, 2026 from Miami, Florida, where he was attending the Miami Security Forum. Pevkur assumed his position in July 2022. From 2022 to 2025, Estonia’s defense sector has grown seven-fold, and Pevkur expects more growth. Estonia has focused on automatization, […]
Basing U.S. Navy Vessels in the Indian Ocean: A Step Toward Long-Term Engagement
When American policymakers think of the Indo-Pacific region and the challenges it poses for U.S. security interests, it is understandable that the Pacific part comes to mind first. From the constant possibility of a Chinese invasion of Taiwan to North Korea’s menacing nuclear arsenal, threats to stability in the Western Pacific have enormous implications for […]
Turkey’s Strategic Caution on Iran</br>Why Ankara still sees continuity in Tehran as less dangerous than an uncertain transition
When missiles fall near Turkish territory, the expectation is usually clear: Ankara will answer with forceful rhetoric, calibrated signaling, and an emphatic defense of sovereignty. Yet when the source of that threat is Iran, Turkey’s response reveals a deeper strategic paradox. Even as Tehran tests Turkish red lines, Ankara remains reluctant to embrace any scenario […]
