Mr. President, the Time to Strike Is Now

Photo credit: IMAGO/Hanno Bode via Reuters Connect.

President Trump, I write to you not with hesitation but with urgency. Your leadership transformed the Middle East. The Abraham Accords, your firm support for Israel, and your uncompromising stance toward terror made peace possible when many believed it was impossible. You did not follow the tired formulas of appeasement. You lead with principle and […]

Egypt-Israel Military Ties: Washington Must Pay More Attention

Rafah border crossing between Egypt and the Gaza Strip. Photo credit: REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany.

The Hamas attacks of October 7, 2023 marked a critical test of Israel’s quiet military partnership with Egypt. For more than a decade, Egypt and Israel maintained robust security coordination focused on ISIS cells in the Sinai peninsula. That cooperation, mostly kept out of the media, now faces its most serious challenge. Since the conflict in […]

To Lock in Middle East Security, Up the Game

AIR FORCE ONE ILLUSTRATION

President Trump will be traveling to the Middle East at a time of great progress, given the terrible defeat Iran has suffered over the past eighteen months at the hands of exactly the regional alliance Trump is seeking now to further strengthen. Nevertheless, more work is needed on the three most pressing remaining Iran-related issues, […]

A Cold Peace in Peril?

Egyptian tanks at the Rafah border crossing between Egypt and the Gaza Strip. Photo credit: Gehad Hamdy/dpa via Reuters Connect.

Israel-Egypt peace was carefully constructed in the 1979 treaty and has weathered numerous regional storms: the 1982 Lebanon War, two Palestinian intifadas, the upheaval of the 2011 Arab Spring, and even sixteen months of conflict in Gaza. Throughout, Israel and Egypt have sustained generally productive military and economic cooperation (despite persistent anti-Israeli sentiment in the […]

A New World Order

The war in Ukraine is leading to a seismic geopolitical shift, reshaping the global order. At its fulcrum stands Donald Trump, the champion of “America First” who is asserting Washington’s dominance on his own terms. Opposing him, Europe remains trapped in the inertia of its post-Cold War illusions, struggling to adjust to a world where […]

Trump’s Gaza Plan: Change of Narrative

Gaza City, February 2025. Photo credit: Majdi Fathi via Reuters Connect.

Washington’s Middle East experts were gathered for dinner in the ballroom of the Ritz Carlton Georgetown, hosted by a prominent think tank. It was May 19, 2019, and they had come to hear Jared Kushner talk about the forthcoming Trump peace plan. Mr. Kushner described both an economic vision for the Middle East and a […]

Will Ukraine Survive a Russo-American Deal?

Photo credit: REUTERS.

From the first day of his return to the White House, Donald Trump has made a point of demonstrating that he intends to carry out his campaign promises. In addition to the flurry of executive orders that he began to issue within hours of his inauguration, Trump has also made waves internationally.  By threatening to […]

Beware Trump’s Wrath Over a Failed Ceasefire Agreement in Gaza

Hamas hands over Doron Steinbrecher, a hostage who had been held in Gaza since the October 7 2023 attack, to members of the Red Cross, January 19, 2025. Photo credit: REUTERS.

This week’s release of three Israeli female hostages and 900 Palestinian prisoners and detainees, primarily women and children, is the first step in what is expected to be a long process of bringing home Israel’s hostages and ending the war with Hamas. The agreement provides for three phases, the first two of which involve more […]

Trump Administration Faces a Suddenly Promising Middle East

BACKGROUND The second Trump administration will face immediate foreign policy dilemmas in all three Eurasian fronts. This paper concentrates on the Middle East, but the competing demands of Europe and East Asia, and the links among all of them, influence decisions everywhere. The dramatic events of the past year open the door to a regional […]