Sewage Without Borders
Gaza’s sewage has reached Israel’s taps. We had thirty years of warnings and chances to prevent it. The squills are up on the hills, white and upright as surveyors’ stakes — which is more or less what they were since antiquity. Farmers here planted them in rows to mark where one field ended and the […]
Should Vance or Rubio be the Republican nominee in 2028?
The Failure of American Isolationism in Iran and the Republican Choice for 2028 The case against JD Vance is not about a memorandum. It is about a policy, and about the kind of failure that falls on the leader who argued it into being. A policy is different from a deal. A deal has terms […]
Is Russia A Country or a Terrorist State?
For more than a decade, Russia has waged a war of aggression that is directed against Ukraine while systematically terrorizing its civilian population. Missile and drone attacks on Ukrainian cities and critical infrastructure have become increasingly systematic. Since August, air-raid alerts have at times seemed almost continuous. Schools, hospitals, energy facilities, transportation networks, and other […]
Nuclear Deterrence Needs Time, Not Just a Human in the Loop
Governments increasingly promise that artificial intelligence will never be allowed to decide whether nuclear weapons are used. The principle is important. A machine should not authorize an action capable of killing millions and transforming the international system. Yet preserving a human “in the loop” does not necessarily preserve meaningful human control. Long before a national […]
Hamas’s billion-dollar financial network
The September 2026 elimination by the IDF of two Gaza-based money changers, Jabr Moqbel, head of the Moqbel currency-exchange network, and, days later, Shadi Abu Hasira, a central money changer in Hamas’s military wing who ran the Geneva exchange network, highlights an important reality: Hamas’s financial system is under sustained pressure, but it remains functional, […]
DANGEROUSLY IGNORED DIFFERENCES<br>DONALD TRUMP, “FRICTION” AND NUCLEAR WAR
“Friction is the difference between war on paper and war as it actually is.”Carl von Clausewitz, On War From the start of his war against Iran, US President Donald J. Trump has misunderstood nuclear war and nuclear deterrence. Conspicuously, he has assumed, without tangible evidence or sound logical argument, a direct correlation between the magnitude of his […]
The Unexpected Return of the Falkland Islands Question
In a world with no shortage of hotspots, the Falklands Islands have surprisingly reappeared as a point of international tension. Argentine President Javier Milei, who until recently had largely avoided raising this longstanding point of grievance, has returned to this rebarbative theme as his popularity wanes and he contemplates a tough campaign for reelection. Milei […]
From Containment to Regime Change: Israel’s New Strategic Logic?
The American-Israeli war against Iran launched in late February 2026 included an unusually ambitious objective. Beyond degrading Iran’s nuclear and missile capabilities, Israel and the United States devised a plan to topple the regime in Iran. According to media reports, this effort military pressure could lead to the collapse of the Islamic Republic, an influence […]
Chile’s Right in Power— José Antonio Kast at the Six Month Mark
Since taking office in March, Chilean President José Antonio Kast has had one major victory, the narrow passage of a “mega-reform” which will allow him to implement his strongly conservative economic prescriptions. However, his other main legislative priority, a hardline reform of public security, faces a tougher time, as it has received sharp criticism for […]
Trump, Putin, and the Price of Saving Europe: Is China the Missing Piece of the Puzzle?
The American president’s reluctance to confront Russia may reflect a larger geopolitical calculation. But his contempt for European leadership could be making him indifferent to the very conflict that threatens the Western alliance. Why has Donald Trump, who repeatedly promised to end the war in Ukraine, refrained from applying decisive pressure on Vladimir Putin? Why […]
